Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.011500 0.014018 0.017217 0.021686 0.027958 0.036765 0.050707
2024-10-13 0.008087 0.010676 0.014386 0.020397 0.030592 0.048835 0.089252
2024-10-20 0.006556 0.009101 0.013047 0.020139 0.034028 0.064600 0.159977
2024-10-27 0.005848 0.008480 0.012857 0.021522 0.041148 0.095703 0.369673
2024-11-03 0.005379 0.008099 0.012907 0.023318 0.050562 0.149074 1.172345
2024-11-10 0.005017 0.007803 0.013007 0.025249 0.062251 0.243342 7.871053
2024-11-17 0.004539 0.007210 0.012378 0.025239 0.068368 0.339582 244.423347
2024-11-24 0.004115 0.006644 0.011676 0.024782 0.072782 0.456824 NaN
2024-12-01 0.003650 0.005937 0.010547 0.022817 0.069729 0.496706 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003309 0.005430 0.009770 0.021617 0.069332 0.582948 NaN
2024-12-15 0.003091 0.005134 0.009410 0.021519 0.074266 0.827602 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002970 0.005017 0.009428 0.022583 0.086843 1.600071 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002777 0.004756 0.009130 0.022762 0.096683 3.240561 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002526 0.004354 0.008436 0.021418 0.095326 4.534600 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002359 0.004106 0.008080 0.021143 0.102035 10.526359 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002285 0.004048 0.008186 0.022626 0.127594 340.685833 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002231 0.004022 0.008371 0.024554 0.166666 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002179 0.003997 0.008553 0.026631 0.222073 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002070 0.003826 0.008300 0.026621 0.248003 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001958 0.003640 0.007973 0.026128 0.264871 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001813 0.003368 0.007362 0.024015 0.239040 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001702 0.003165 0.006933 0.022728 0.230692 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001630 0.003049 0.006746 0.022622 0.252032 NaN NaN